According to BNB sources by the 30th of June the so
called bad credits in leva come up to 32 billion leva both
principal and interests and in hard currencies (that is credits
granted in convertible currency) amount to about 1.808 billion
dollars. The act passed by the National Assembly preserved these
sums as quota that cannot be exceeded.
The legislators approved state bonds to cover the
principal and the interests accrued by June the 31st 1993. After
that date to the end of the year the interests calculated go
against the reserves of the banks. The banks have not received any
payments of these interests, so the term against their own reserves
is practically conventional.
Summarizingly bad credits can be written off in the
following ways:
The most radical, but at the same time practically
inapplicable approach implies the adoption of an act to oblige the
banks to write off the existent assets (non-performing debts of
1990, the interests included) against their own capital (assets,
reserves, additional). This has been the way of solving a similar
problem in the Kingdom of Bulgaria during the years 1932 - 1936. A
Debtor Act was passed and the banks which did not stand to it when
implemented were liquidated and later consolidated in a sense in a
new joint stock bank (Bulgarian Credit Bank) with a high percentage
of state participation. This experience might have been helpful in
1990 before the interest rate going free in 1991. This could not
have been realised in 1993 as thus the capital adequacy would have
been damaged of the banks whose consolidation had been performed on
other principles. The estimated commercial banks' own capital by
May the 30th 1993 totaled a 25 billion leva.
It can be regretted that at the beginning of 1991
the Great National Assembly took long days to debate ways to
reimburse people recipients of loans to be used for house
construction and in the meanwhile did not touch upon the same kind
of problem encountered with the debtor-enterprises; who were at
that in many of the cases committed to paying loans negotiated,
received and set forth by others at a different level and in
manners having nothing to do with the market conditions of
crediting.
The practice of other former socialist countries
offers a different solution to the problem. It is targeted at the
relieving the commercial banks of the burdens of non-performing
incomings. The bad credits are being transferred to one bank
(called "hospital-bank" or "dustbin"). Structurally it usually
belongs to the Ministry of finance and the state reimburses the
commercial banks by means of state bond loan. The obligations of
the enterprises are not written off but transferred to the
"hospital bank " and later on special programs decide the fate of
these enterprises. The incomes from selling debtor enterprises come
to the same bank. This was applied in Czechoslovakia as early as at
the beginning of 1991. It is difficult to argue against the
economic value of such a solution having significant advantages,
but disregarding experts' recommendations it was not adopted in our
country in 1991 when the first 5 billion dollar transfer was
enacted. It was just as impossible to apply this way in 1993
inasmuch as the approved legal regulations were strict in their
requirement for writing off debts of enterprises.
The National Assembly was right in its wording as it
was not already 1991, nor 1992 - it had all taken quite a long time
- the privatization had to start at the long last and that in
itself is difficult to realise if as late as in 1993 programs are
initiated to consider what is to be done with the debts of the
enterprises.
If we take for given that the members of the
parliament intended to clear the portfolios of the banks and at the
same time to write off the debts of the enterprises, what is left
to be done is to figure out the conditions of the state security
loan to compensate for the bad credits.
According to the Bad credits Act during the first
two years the interest on the issued bonds is 1/3 of the base
interest rate; during the second two years - 1/2 of the base
interest rate ; during the fifth and the sixth years - 2/3; from
the seventh to the twenty-fifth the interest is equal to the base
interest rate. It deserves to be noted that this interest scheme is
provided in a BNB letter of January 1993 for the second tranche of
5 billion leva coming from the 1992 budget. It was adopted for the
one-time operation for the clearing of all bad credits granted by
the end of 1990, in accord with a conviction of BNB's that it would
not pose problems to the banks , but will take burdens off the
expenditure parts of the budget in the years to come. Consequently,
after the act entered into force the big holders of bad credits do
not miss a chance to voice their discontent with this amount of
interest on the state bonds.
The state bonds issued to substitute for the leva
credit have amortization period of 25 years with a 5-year grace
period and the interest on them is to be paid twice yearly on April
the 1st and October the 1st every year.
For the foreign currency credits the state
securities are denominated in dollars. This was undertaken to
preserve the assets of the banks and to compensate to a certain
degree the losses of the reduced interest on the leva credits. The
bonds denominated in dollars were issued at the beginning of June
1994, instead of at the end of 1993. The delay has been attributed
to the impossibility to fit the banks accounts into the 1.808
billion dollar quota predetermined.
The date of issue fixed by the act is January the
1st, 1994; while the leva bonds are to be issued on October the
1st, 1993.
The interest is to be paid on July 1st and January
1st amounting to the six-month LIBOR for US dollars for the period
in question.
The impact can be considerable on the progress of
the economic reform of the opportunity provided in the Act the
securities in leva and dollars to be used as means of payment in
the privatization deals of state and municipal enterprises. The
rest of the presentation will deal with this issue in some more
detail.
The Act sets forth more rigid terms for debtor
enterprises. Unlike in the 1991 and 1992 operations the debt
substituted by bonds is not automatically written off. The
enterprises book the debts as obligations of the state budget
amounting up to the principal. The interests, also covered by state
bonds increase the enterprises reserves. These obligations do not
bear interest and the principal is not paid only during the first
six months. After that period and in accord with the assessed draft
program for the financial recuperation of the respective enterprise
the debt is being decided whether to become effective or to be
written off. It is explicitly specified that debts shall not be
written off of enterprises who after year 1990 have increased their
wages (as shown by the wage-increase taxes paid) and not spent on
repaying debts.
By the end of June the aggregate credits covered in
leva bonds is below the amount stated in the Act, namely
26,391,832,000 leva. The unclaimed amount of about 6 billion leva
results from the strict implementation of the criteria to be met by
the loans to be offered for writing off by the banks. One option is
this unclaimed sum of 6 billion leva to be cleared to increase the
quota of the dollar denominated bonds. Unrestructured into state
debt here remained interests worth 71,094,432 US dollars, as well
as a set of special credits managed by BNB before 1990 152 million
US dollars worth.
This option has not been discussed, but it is very
unlikely to be adopted if only because an operation of this kind
has to be passed by the National Assembly, which is approaching the
end of its summer session.
The one-time operation for clearing the banks'
portfolios has been accomplished. Its leva credit parts were
included in the 1993 accounts and its foreign currency credits will
be booked by June 30th, 1994.
It is very likely the meeting of the requirements
for the so called recuperation programs and the concluding of
contracts between the debtor enterprises and the Ministry of
finance to take quite some time. The Act requires the valuation of
each enterprise to be grounded on a number of criteria as set forth
by the Council of Ministers (Ordinance # of 1994).
The Council of Ministers approved of three
regulations to implement the Act:
1. Regulation for the procedures and conditions of
acquisition, servicing and paying of long-term state bonds (Council
of Ministers Ordinance #33 of February 14th, 1994).
2. Criteria for the financial recuperation programs
(Council of Ministers Ordinance #45 of March 3rd,1994)
3. Regulation for the order of participation in the
privatization of the holders of long-term state bonds issued to the
Settlement of Unpaid Credits granted before December 31st, 1990
Act.
The first of the enlisted regulations regularized
the relationships between the commercial banks whose portfolios
were cleared and the Ministry of finance who took up the debts by
issuing the security loan. This takes the form of contracts under
certain conditions. As to the amounts of bonds issued by banks the
Ministry of Finance has to notify the BNB where special registers
keep trace of the long-term state bonds issued. When deals are
concluded with these bonds the latest data are to be recorded in
these registers as to who sells and who buys and what the price is
for the respective deal. When the deals are between the banks and
legal or physical persons accordingly, a certificate has to be
issued for the buyers of bonds. When using the bonds as means of
payment in privatization deals they are considered matured state
securities. A separate regulation (Ordinance #36 of 1994) of the
Council of Ministers approves of the order of using bonds in
privatization.
It has been agreed the leva bonds to be accepted as
means of payment by their nominal value despite their usually lower
market price. This is not acceptable in the privatization deals for
the bonds denominated in dollars and they participate by their
market values. The general schemes for the implementation the bad
credits act invented this element for the following purposes:
First, to accelerate the privatization of the state
enterprises inasmuch as one of the reasons for the slow movement
forward of this process is the inavailability of free capitals at
very expensive credit.
Second, to speed up the performing of the public
debt, as the bonds received by the ministries or the Privatization
Agency when selling enterprises are actually debt servicing. It is
worth mentioning that this procedure has been resisted on the part
of the Privatization Agency. It is understandable as the agency
receives 7 per cent of the total amount if paid as the normal
practice goes. It is not hard to see this objection is to be
overcome by funding the Privatization Agency from the state budget.
It is very important economically to decrease the public debt
formed at the moment by the yearly budget deficit, essential in
which remains the impact of the payment of interests on foreign
debts; on debts lent by the BNB and the security loans in question
(of 1992, 1993, 1994). Interests burden the budget far above the
admissible for such purposes levels - so the early settlement of
parts of the security loans should have its consequences for the
economic development.
It deserves to be noted that the use of the
securities as means of payment in the privatization also influences
the aggregate credit amounts to be further properly analyzed. The
credit method is used more and more widely in trading the bonds
which deviates from the original scheme.
The bad credits Act still has to be implemented in
its part concerning the relationships between the enterprises and
the Ministry of finance. According to article 11 of the Act the
ministries acting as general assembly in respect to the treated in
the operation enterprises together with the enterprises themselves
produce programs for their financial recuperation. These programs
are not ready by June 1994. They should be approved by the
ministries if meeting the special regulations criteria and
indicators. These serve the grounds for the minister of finance to
decide whether to enact the real clearing of the obligation of the
respective enterprise or to restructure it back as obligation to
the state to be serviced on contract terms.
The opinion is widespread that the state through the
Ministry of finance should be persistent about the servicing of the
loans covered by security loans. This view optionally implied in
the Act can only be supported if the specificities of the loans
before 1990 , the subject of the beginning of this presentation are
not understood in their depth. Even if the arguments given be
disregarded, what happened to the enterprises during years 1991 to
1993 has to be taken into account. In 1991 the original euphoria
with the change and external reasons made the enterprises loose the
markets they used to have under the motto of re-orientation to the
west. This turned out to be one of the illusions of the transition
and only after the western experts themselves clearly pointed that
for us it is better to stick to our old markets actions were
undertaken to return to them. But the time wasted forced upon many
economic entities the reduction of their output, decapitalization,
narrowing the opportunities for current maintenance let alone
development. It is now at the long last that the enterprises are
recovering and very slowly at that in terms of finding markets. It
will be a blunder if at this very moment they are laid with burdens
from ten years before. This will leave them with no chance for
stabilization. And this would understandably have negative impact
on the overall progress of the reform and the intentions to avoid
any further plummeting of the output.
|